贵州11选5遗漏数据

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Steel industry: inventory to see the full year high

发布时间:2018-3-13
Inventory continues to rise this week, and downstream demand continues to delay. At present, downstream demand starts more slowly than in previous years, resulting in the continued accumulation of steel social stocks, which rose to 19.66 million tons this week, but the cumulative rate slowed down, from a historical statistical point of view. This week's inventory basically saw a full year high, spring work will only be late will not be absent, in the pessimistic expectations fully released, steel prices fell low turnover, export and electric furnace steel cost dual support, steel prices have rebounded base. However, high inventory will still restrain spring demand elasticity, steel price should not be overly optimistic, and continue to observe rework strength and inventory changes, steel price fluctuations will continue to increase. Demand runs smoothly, supply elasticity is restricted, steel price fluctuates throughout the year. In 2018, iron and steel demand remained stable as a whole, the growth rate of investment in real estate infrastructure declined steadily, and the manufacturing industry and export gradually recovered. The annual supply increased by 10 million tons, the utilization rate of capacity remained high, the price of steel fluctuated throughout the year, and the central center of rebar 3800-4000 yuan / ton was determined. Core assets have basically fallen out of value. It is recommended that Baosteel shares and Fangda Special Steel. In the case of increased fluctuations in steel prices, profitability is stable. Cost advantage and dividend advantage will be the core factors of pricing. We raised Baosteel's 2018 earnings forecast to 24 billion on January 25th 2018. Baosteel will become a global expansion. Research and development drive high proportion dividends of new material international giants. The company will not invest on a large scale in the future, the ratio of assets, liabilities and financial expenses will fall, and the dividends will be increased. With the release of WISCO and Zhanjiang's achievements, cost reduction will continue to move forward. The company is expected to beat expectations for the next few years. It also continues to recommend high dividend yields, high net asset yields, robust operations, sustained profitability, and low cost Fangda Steel. The price of main varieties of steel fell this week, the price of raw materials fell. This week, the steel social inventory rose one million one hundred and thirty-three thousand and nine hundred tons compared with the month before, and the steel factory stock rose 50,200 tons. Among them, the social inventory of steel rebar rose 741,300 tons, the steel factory stock increased 193,700 tons; The stock of hot coil society rose by 132,300 tons, and the stock of steel factory fell by 55,800 tons. The spot price of Shanghai rebar was 3,860 yuan / ton, down 240 yuan / ton; the spot price of hot rolled coil plate was 4020 yuan / ton, down 200 yuan / ton from last week; raw materials, Spot iron ore prices dropped 39 yuan / ton to 513 yuan / ton, while futures dropped 55.5 yuan / ton to 483.5 yuan / ton. The price of futures fell 207 yuan / ton to 2035 yuan / ton. The profit of rebar production fell 180.8 yuan / ton to 926.7 yuan / ton, and the profit of hot coil fell 140.8 yuan / ton to 686.7 yuan / ton. This week, the operating rate of blast furnaces in Tangshan increased slightly to 51.83 and the operating rate of blast furnaces across the country decreased slightly. In terms of raw materials, the stock of iron ore ports increased from an increase to a decline; the inventory of coke coking plants increased slightly. Port stocks have risen sharply; inventories at coking plants have continued to decline, with inventories at major ports rising sharply. Scrap prices have declined slightly this week, graphite electrodes have fallen, manganese and silicon prices have remained flat and vanadium prices have risen last week. Prices of durable materials fell. Stainless steel prices rose slightly this week, nickel prices fell, and international steel prices continued to recover.
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